Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000213 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296 0.000331 0.000368 0.000411
2025-06-01 0.000173 0.000206 0.000244 0.000290 0.000345 0.000407 0.000484
2025-06-08 0.000146 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287 0.000360 0.000448 0.000561
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000167 0.000218 0.000287 0.000377 0.000490 0.000644
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000152 0.000207 0.000285 0.000390 0.000527 0.000721
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000143 0.000202 0.000288 0.000410 0.000575 0.000817
2025-07-06 0.000089 0.000134 0.000196 0.000290 0.000426 0.000618 0.000908
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000124 0.000188 0.000287 0.000436 0.000652 0.000987
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000295 0.000461 0.000709 0.001105
2025-07-27 0.000069 0.000114 0.000183 0.000297 0.000478 0.000754 0.001208
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000108 0.000179 0.000297 0.000491 0.000795 0.001305
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000102 0.000172 0.000294 0.000499 0.000827 0.001392
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000098 0.000170 0.000297 0.000517 0.000878 0.001515
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000092 0.000163 0.000294 0.000525 0.000913 0.001613
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000087 0.000159 0.000293 0.000536 0.000954 0.001726
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000083 0.000156 0.000294 0.000550 0.001001 0.001852
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000079 0.000151 0.000292 0.000558 0.001038 0.001963
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000076 0.000150 0.000296 0.000579 0.001099 0.002121
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000073 0.000147 0.000298 0.000594 0.001151 0.002266
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000070 0.000143 0.000295 0.000601 0.001187 0.002384
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000069 0.000144 0.000303 0.000630 0.001265 0.002589
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000066 0.000142 0.000305 0.000647 0.001324 0.002758
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000064 0.000139 0.000305 0.000660 0.001374 0.002914